Combat Edge Intelligence

Davlet Karataev vs Tymoteusz Łopaczyk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-2-0Record14-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'9"
69"Reach73"
157 lbsWeight171 lbs
Spitfire Gym Berlin· 1605 avg Elo · 9 ratedTeamWCA Fight Team· 1591 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Davlet KarataevNow 1645
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629
Tymoteusz ŁopaczykNow 1645
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Davlet KarataevTymoteusz Łopaczyk
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (67%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
2 (22%)
Submission
4 (29%)
1 (11%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Tymoteusz Łopaczyk63%
Davlet Karataev 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tymoteusz Łopaczyk a 63% favorite over Davlet Karataev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Davlet Karataev's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1645 vs 1645), separated by just 0 points.

Davlet Karataev enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Davlet Karataev finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Tymoteusz Łopaczyk 79%.

Tymoteusz Łopaczyk carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.