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Combat Edge Intelligence

Dawid Panfil vs Kyosuke Sasaki

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-5-0Record3-7-4
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
TBDHeight5'7"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight183 lbs
Premier MMATeamU-File Camp

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dawid PanfilNow 1469
If they win+23→ 1492
If they lose-25→ 1444
Kyosuke SasakiNow 1456
If they win+17→ 1473
If they lose-15→ 1441

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1499 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Dawid PanfilKyosuke Sasaki
145015002004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (100%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (67%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Kyosuke Sasaki59%
Dawid Panfil 41%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Kyosuke Sasaki a 59% favorite over Dawid Panfil in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dawid Panfil's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1469 vs 1456), separated by just 13 points.

Dawid Panfil enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dawid Panfil finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Kyosuke Sasaki 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.