Dayana Silva vs Gina Carano
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-9-0Record7-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'8"
TBDReach66"
145 lbsWeight143 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Gina Carano is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Dayana Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1540
If they lose-13→ 1508
If they win+19→ 1615
If they lose-29→ 1567
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1574 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dayana SilvaGina Carano
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gina Carano66%
Dayana Silva 34%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Gina Carano a 66% favorite over Dayana Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Gina Carano holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1596 to 1521, a 75-point edge.
Dayana Silva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gina Carano enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dayana Silva finishes 20% of wins inside the distance, Gina Carano 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.