Dean Barry vs Drew Fickett
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-2-0Record43-22-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
72"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight151 lbs
Team Ryano MMATeamTeam Scrub
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1575
If they lose-24→ 1527
If they win+12→ 1569
If they lose-12→ 1545
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1489 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dean BarryDrew Fickett
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dean Barry72%
Drew Fickett 28%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Dean Barry a 72% favorite over Drew Fickett in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Drew Fickett's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1551 vs 1557), separated by just 6 points.
Drew Fickett enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dean Barry finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Drew Fickett 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.