Combat Edge Intelligence

Dean Garnett vs Joji Goto

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-4-1Record21-9-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
64"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight134 lbs
Team McHaleTeamTribe Tokyo MMA· 1629 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dean GarnettNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Joji GotoNow 1630
If they win+12→ 1642
If they lose-12→ 1618

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Dean GarnettJoji Goto
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
10 (48%)
6 (40%)
Submission
5 (24%)
5 (33%)
Decision
6 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Dean Garnett and Joji Goto within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1630), separated by just 3 points.

Dean Garnett finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Joji Goto 71%.

Joji Goto carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.