Combat Edge Intelligence

Dean Garnett vs Manny Tapia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Manny Tapia
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Manny Tapia

“The Mangler”

12-4-1Bantamweight

1625Solid

Tale of the tape

15-4-1Record12-4-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'5"
64"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team McHaleTeamMillennia MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dean GarnettNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Manny TapiaNow 1625
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.69
TBD
Strike accuracy
21%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.74
TBD
Strike defense
58%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.49
TBD
Takedown accuracy
40%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.24

Trajectory

Dean GarnettManny Tapia
16002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
4 (33%)
6 (40%)
Submission
2 (17%)
5 (33%)
Decision
6 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Dean Garnett70%
Manny Tapia 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dean Garnett a 70% favorite over Manny Tapia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1625), separated by just 2 points.

Manny Tapia enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Dean Garnett finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Manny Tapia 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.