Combat Edge Intelligence

Dean Garnett vs Scott Jorgensen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-4-1Record15-12-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'5"
64"Reach37.00
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team McHaleTeamTwisted Genetiks

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dean GarnettNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Scott JorgensenNow 1628
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.41
TBD
Strike defense
65%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.61
TBD
Takedown accuracy
46%
TBD
Takedown defense
60%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.73

Trajectory

Dean GarnettScott Jorgensen
1600165020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
6 (40%)
Submission
5 (33%)
5 (33%)
Decision
8 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Dean Garnett70%
Scott Jorgensen 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dean Garnett a 70% favorite over Scott Jorgensen in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Scott Jorgensen's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1628), separated by just 1 points.

Dean Garnett finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Scott Jorgensen 47%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.