Dean Lister vs Jeremy Horn
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-7-0Record92-22-5
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Victory MMATeamJeremy Horn's Elite Performance
What's at stake
Jeremy Horn is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Dean Lister carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1584
If they lose-6→ 1552
If they win+5→ 1806
If they lose-19→ 1782
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dean ListerJeremy Horn
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jeremy Horn68%
Dean Lister 32%Elo baseline: 80%
The Combat Edge model makes Jeremy Horn a 68% favorite over Dean Lister in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (80%).
Jeremy Horn holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1801 to 1558, a 243-point edge.
Dean Lister enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Dean Lister finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Jeremy Horn 87%.
Dean Lister and Jeremy Horn share 1 common opponent: Thales Leites.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.