Dean Lister vs Jordan Radev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-7-0Record23-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'7"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Victory MMATeamSportcentrum KOPS
What's at stake
Jordan Radev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Dean Lister carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1581
If they lose-9→ 1549
If they win+7→ 1733
If they lose-17→ 1709
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dean ListerJordan Radev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jordan Radev83%
Dean Lister 17%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Jordan Radev a 83% favorite over Dean Lister in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Jordan Radev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1726 to 1558, a 168-point edge.
Dean Lister enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Dean Lister finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Jordan Radev 45%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.