Dean Lister vs Yushin Okami
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-7-0Record37-15-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
TBDReach41,5"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Victory MMATeamEXFIGHT
What's at stake
Yushin Okami is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Dean Lister carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1579
If they lose-11→ 1547
If they win+8→ 1675
If they lose-16→ 1651
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dean ListerYushin Okami
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yushin Okami66%
Dean Lister 34%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Yushin Okami a 66% favorite over Dean Lister in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Yushin Okami holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1667 to 1558, a 109-point edge.
Dean Lister enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Dean Lister finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Yushin Okami 47%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.