Dedrek Sanders vs Niklas Stolze
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-5-0Record14-10-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height6'0"
70"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight171 lbs
Anchorage Brazilian Jiu-JitsuTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
Dedrek Sanders is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Niklas Stolze carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1641
If they lose-21→ 1609
If they win+21→ 1546
If they lose-11→ 1514
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dedrek SandersNiklas Stolze
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dedrek Sanders64%
Niklas Stolze 36%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Dedrek Sanders a 64% favorite over Niklas Stolze in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Dedrek Sanders holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1630 to 1525, a 105-point edge.
Dedrek Sanders enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Niklas Stolze enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Dedrek Sanders finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Niklas Stolze 79%.
Niklas Stolze carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.