Combat Edge Intelligence

Dedrek Sanders vs Rob McCullough

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record19-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'8"
70"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight154 lbs
Anchorage Brazilian Jiu-JitsuTeamHB Ultimate

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dedrek SandersNow 1630
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614
Rob McCulloughNow 1630
If they win+12→ 1642
If they lose-12→ 1618

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.96
TBD
Strike accuracy
36%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.57
TBD
Strike defense
59%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.58
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
TBD
Takedown defense
68%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dedrek SandersRob McCullough
16001650200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
12 (63%)
2 (18%)
Submission
1 (5%)
3 (27%)
Decision
6 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Dedrek Sanders70%
Rob McCullough 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dedrek Sanders a 70% favorite over Rob McCullough in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1630 vs 1630), separated by just 0 points.

Dedrek Sanders enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Rob McCullough enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dedrek Sanders finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Rob McCullough 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.