Dee Reddick vs Tristan Arenal
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-1-0Record7-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
71.5"ReachTBD
156 lbsWeight156 lbs
Modern Warrior MMATeamUnlimited MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1566
If they lose-24→ 1518
If they win+16→ 1556
If they lose-16→ 1524
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1501 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dee ReddickTristan Arenal
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dee Reddick59%
Tristan Arenal 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Dee Reddick a 59% favorite over Tristan Arenal in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1542 vs 1540), separated by just 2 points.
Dee Reddick finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Tristan Arenal 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.