Combat Edge Intelligence

Delson Heleno vs Francisco Trinaldo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

30-11-0Record29-9-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'8"
TBDReach70"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
CM SystemTeamBrazilian TKO

What's at stake

Francisco Trinaldo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Delson Heleno carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Delson HelenoNow 1663
If they win+15→ 1678
If they lose-9→ 1654
Francisco TrinaldoNow 1766
If they win+9→ 1775
If they lose-15→ 1751

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1693 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.69
Sig. strikes / min
3.13
75%
Strike accuracy
45%
4.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.67
19%
Strike defense
61%
0
Takedown avg.
0.98
0%
Takedown accuracy
42%
0%
Takedown defense
60%
0
Submission avg.
0.51

Trajectory

Delson HelenoFrancisco Trinaldo
16501700175018002016201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

4 (13%)
KO/TKO
10 (34%)
14 (47%)
Submission
5 (17%)
12 (40%)
Decision
14 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Francisco Trinaldo78%
Delson Heleno 22%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Francisco Trinaldo a 78% favorite over Delson Heleno in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Francisco Trinaldo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1766 to 1663, a 103-point edge.

Delson Heleno finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Francisco Trinaldo 52%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.