Delson Heleno vs Francisco Trinaldo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-11-0Record29-9-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'8"
TBDReach70"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
CM System· 1648 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamBrazilian TKO· 1643 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
Francisco Trinaldo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Delson Heleno carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1684
If they lose-9→ 1660
If they win+9→ 1774
If they lose-15→ 1750
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1694 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Delson HelenoFrancisco Trinaldo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Francisco Trinaldo73%
Delson Heleno 27%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Francisco Trinaldo a 73% favorite over Delson Heleno in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Francisco Trinaldo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1765 to 1669, a 96-point edge.
Delson Heleno finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Francisco Trinaldo 52%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.