Delson Heleno vs Tom Breese
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-11-0Record18-5-0
WelterweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight205 lbs
CM System· 1632 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamTeam Renegade· 1731 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1677
If they lose-12→ 1653
If they win+12→ 1676
If they lose-12→ 1652
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Delson HelenoTom Breese
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tom Breese66%
Delson Heleno 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tom Breese a 66% favorite over Delson Heleno in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Delson Heleno's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1665 vs 1664), separated by just 1 points.
Tom Breese enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Delson Heleno finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Tom Breese 94%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.