Demba Seck vs Francis Marshall
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-3-0Record10-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'9"
75"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Elite Training Center· 1639 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamPellegrino Mixed Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1670
If they lose-16→ 1638
If they win+16→ 1670
If they lose-16→ 1638
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1526 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1594 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Demba SeckFrancis Marshall
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Francis Marshall51%
Demba Seck 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Francis Marshall a 51% favorite over Demba Seck in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Demba Seck's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1654 vs 1654), separated by just 0 points.
Francis Marshall enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Demba Seck finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Francis Marshall 60%.
Demba Seck carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.