Combat Edge Intelligence

Demba Seck vs Lance Gibson Jr.

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Demba Seck
sn

Demba Seck

“Black Tiger”

11-3-0LightweightPFL

1654Good

Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record10-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'9"
75"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight185 lbs
Elite Training CenterTeamGibson Kickboxing & Pankration

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Demba SeckNow 1654
If they win+16→ 1670
If they lose-16→ 1638
Lance Gibson Jr.Now 1652
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1526 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2
TBD
Strike accuracy
42%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.33
TBD
Strike defense
54%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2
TBD
Takedown accuracy
67%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Demba SeckLance Gibson Jr.
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (27%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
5 (45%)
Submission
3 (30%)
3 (27%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Demba Seck and Lance Gibson Jr. within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1654 vs 1652), separated by just 2 points.

Demba Seck finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Lance Gibson Jr. 80%.

Demba Seck carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.