Combat Edge Intelligence

Demetrious Johnson vs Henry Cejudo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-4-1Record16-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'4"
66.00"Reach64"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
AMC PankrationTeamFight Ready

What's at stake

Demetrious Johnson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Henry Cejudo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Demetrious JohnsonNow 1844
If they win+9→ 1853
If they lose-15→ 1829
Henry CejudoNow 1770
If they win+19→ 1789
If they lose-13→ 1757

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1782 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.43
Sig. strikes / min
3.82
55%
Strike accuracy
47%
1.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.46
67%
Strike defense
60%
3.35
Takedown avg.
1.84
56%
Takedown accuracy
31%
66%
Takedown defense
76%
0.52
Submission avg.
0.15

Trajectory

Demetrious JohnsonHenry Cejudo
1750180018502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (20%)
KO/TKO
8 (50%)
8 (32%)
Submission
0 (0%)
12 (48%)
Decision
8 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Demetrious Johnson72%
Henry Cejudo 28%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Demetrious Johnson a 72% favorite over Henry Cejudo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Demetrious Johnson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1844 to 1770, a 74-point edge.

Demetrious Johnson enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Henry Cejudo enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Demetrious Johnson finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Henry Cejudo 50%.

Demetrious Johnson carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.