Demetrious Johnson vs Ian McCall
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-4-1Record13-7-1
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'5"
66.00"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
AMC PankrationTeamTeam Oyama· 1646 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
Demetrious Johnson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Ian McCall carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+5→ 1853
If they lose-19→ 1829
If they win+25→ 1648
If they lose-7→ 1616
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1668 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Demetrious JohnsonIan McCall
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Demetrious Johnson74%
Ian McCall 26%Elo baseline: 79%
The Combat Edge model makes Demetrious Johnson a 74% favorite over Ian McCall in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (79%).
Demetrious Johnson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1848 to 1623, a 225-point edge.
Demetrious Johnson enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Ian McCall enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Demetrious Johnson finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Ian McCall 54%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.