Demetrious Johnson vs John Dodson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-4-1Record24-14-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'3"
66.00"Reach66,0"
135 lbsWeight126 lbs
AMC PankrationTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Demetrious Johnson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — John Dodson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1851
If they lose-17→ 1827
If they win+17→ 1709
If they lose-7→ 1685
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1622 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Demetrious JohnsonJohn Dodson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Demetrious Johnson83%
John Dodson 17%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Demetrious Johnson a 83% favorite over John Dodson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Demetrious Johnson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1844 to 1692, a 152-point edge.
Demetrious Johnson enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Demetrious Johnson finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, John Dodson 54%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.