Demetrious Johnson vs John Moraga
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-4-1Record19-7-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'6"
66.00"Reach66,0"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
AMC PankrationTeamArizona Combat Sports
What's at stake
Demetrious Johnson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — John Moraga carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1851
If they lose-17→ 1827
If they win+17→ 1717
If they lose-7→ 1693
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Demetrious JohnsonJohn Moraga
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Demetrious Johnson82%
John Moraga 18%Elo baseline: 70%
The Combat Edge model makes Demetrious Johnson a 82% favorite over John Moraga in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).
Demetrious Johnson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1844 to 1700, a 144-point edge.
Demetrious Johnson enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Demetrious Johnson finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, John Moraga 58%.
Demetrious Johnson and John Moraga share 1 common opponent: Wilson Reis.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.