Demetrious Johnson vs Joseph Benavidez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-4-1Record28-8-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'4"
66.00"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
AMC PankrationTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Demetrious Johnson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Joseph Benavidez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1854
If they lose-14→ 1830
If they win+14→ 1797
If they lose-10→ 1773
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1630 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1718 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Demetrious JohnsonJoseph Benavidez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Demetrious Johnson78%
Joseph Benavidez 22%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Demetrious Johnson a 78% favorite over Joseph Benavidez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Demetrious Johnson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1844 to 1783, a 61-point edge.
Demetrious Johnson enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Joseph Benavidez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Demetrious Johnson finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Joseph Benavidez 61%.
Demetrious Johnson and Joseph Benavidez share 1 common opponent: Henry Cejudo.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.