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Combat Edge Intelligence

Demetrious Johnson vs Ray Borg

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ray Borg
us

Ray Borg

“The Tazmexican Devil”

16-5-0BantamweightEFC

1740Good

Tale of the tape

25-4-1Record16-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'4"
66.00"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
AMC PankrationTeamJackson's MMA Acoma

What's at stake

Demetrious Johnson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Ray Borg carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Demetrious JohnsonNow 1848
If they win+8→ 1856
If they lose-16→ 1832
Ray BorgNow 1740
If they win+21→ 1761
If they lose-11→ 1729

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1670 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.43
Sig. strikes / min
1.52
55%
Strike accuracy
52%
1.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.93
67%
Strike defense
48%
3.35
Takedown avg.
3.89
56%
Takedown accuracy
50%
66%
Takedown defense
47%
0.52
Submission avg.
1.04

Trajectory

Demetrious JohnsonRay Borg
17001750180018502020202120222023

Win method breakdown

5 (20%)
KO/TKO
1 (6%)
8 (32%)
Submission
6 (38%)
12 (48%)
Decision
9 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

Demetrious Johnson56%
Ray Borg 44%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Demetrious Johnson a 56% favorite over Ray Borg in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Demetrious Johnson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1848 to 1740, a 108-point edge.

Demetrious Johnson enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ray Borg enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Demetrious Johnson finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Ray Borg 44%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.