Demetrius Gioulacos vs Marcio Alexandre Junior
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record16-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
181 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team UltimateTeamAstra Fight Team· 1594 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1500
If they lose-25→ 1452
If they win+25→ 1492
If they lose-23→ 1444
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1508 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1658 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Demetrius Gioulacos54%
Marcio Alexandre Junior 46%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Demetrius Gioulacos a 54% favorite over Marcio Alexandre Junior in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1477 vs 1467), separated by just 10 points.
Marcio Alexandre Junior enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marcio Alexandre Junior 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.