Demian Maia vs Dong Hyun Ma
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-11-0Record16-11-3
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'11"
TBDReach70.50
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Demian Maia Jiu-JitsuTeamBusan Team MAD
What's at stake
Demian Maia is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Dong Hyun Ma carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1781
If they lose-17→ 1757
If they win+17→ 1632
If they lose-7→ 1608
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1768 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1645 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Demian MaiaDong Hyun Ma
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Demian Maia72%
Dong Hyun Ma 28%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Demian Maia a 72% favorite over Dong Hyun Ma in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Demian Maia holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1774 to 1615, a 159-point edge.
Demian Maia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dong Hyun Ma enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Demian Maia finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Dong Hyun Ma 75%.
Demian Maia and Dong Hyun Ma share 1 common opponent: Colby Covington.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.