Demian Maia vs Ed Herman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-11-0Record26-16-0
WelterweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight205 lbs
Demian Maia Jiu-JitsuTeamAmerican Top Team Portland
What's at stake
Demian Maia is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Ed Herman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1782
If they lose-16→ 1758
If they win+16→ 1658
If they lose-8→ 1634
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1768 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1640 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Demian MaiaEd Herman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Demian Maia72%
Ed Herman 28%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Demian Maia a 72% favorite over Ed Herman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Demian Maia holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1774 to 1642, a 132-point edge.
Demian Maia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ed Herman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Demian Maia finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Ed Herman 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.