Demian Maia vs Jack Della Maddalena
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-11-0Record18-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
TBDReach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Demian Maia Jiu-JitsuTeamScrappy MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1786
If they lose-12→ 1762
If they win+16→ 1793
If they lose-16→ 1761
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1768 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1743 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Demian MaiaJack Della Maddalena
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jack Della Maddalena71%
Demian Maia 29%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jack Della Maddalena a 71% favorite over Demian Maia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1774 vs 1777), separated by just 3 points.
Demian Maia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jack Della Maddalena enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Demian Maia finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Jack Della Maddalena 78%.
Demian Maia and Jack Della Maddalena share 2 common opponents: Belal Muhammad and Gilbert Burns.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.