Demian Maia vs Mark Munoz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-11-0Record14-6-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Demian Maia Jiu-JitsuTeamReign MMA
What's at stake
Demian Maia is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Mark Munoz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1782
If they lose-16→ 1758
If they win+22→ 1661
If they lose-10→ 1629
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1767 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1682 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Demian MaiaMark Munoz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Demian Maia72%
Mark Munoz 28%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Demian Maia a 72% favorite over Mark Munoz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Demian Maia holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1774 to 1639, a 135-point edge.
Demian Maia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Demian Maia finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Mark Munoz 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.