Demian Maia vs Neil Magny
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-11-0Record32-14-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'3"
TBDReach80"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Demian Maia Jiu-JitsuTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1786
If they lose-12→ 1762
If they win+12→ 1780
If they lose-12→ 1756
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1767 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1734 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Demian MaiaNeil Magny
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Neil Magny83%
Demian Maia 17%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Neil Magny a 83% favorite over Demian Maia in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Demian Maia's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1774 vs 1768), separated by just 6 points.
Demian Maia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Demian Maia finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Neil Magny 47%.
Demian Maia and Neil Magny share 1 common opponent: Gilbert Burns.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.