Combat Edge Intelligence

Demian Maia vs Ramazan Kuramagomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

28-11-0Record14-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach72"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Demian Maia Jiu-JitsuTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Demian MaiaNow 1774
If they win+12→ 1786
If they lose-12→ 1762
Ramazan KuramagomedovNow 1773
If they win+16→ 1789
If they lose-16→ 1757

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1768 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.80
Sig. strikes / min
11.67
44%
Strike accuracy
68%
2.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
9.13
64%
Strike defense
54%
2.49
Takedown avg.
1
25%
Takedown accuracy
14%
62%
Takedown defense
0%
0.99
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Demian MaiaRamazan Kuramagomedov
1700175018002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (11%)
KO/TKO
2 (14%)
14 (50%)
Submission
6 (43%)
11 (39%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Ramazan Kuramagomedov73%
Demian Maia 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ramazan Kuramagomedov a 73% favorite over Demian Maia in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Demian Maia's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1774 vs 1773), separated by just 1 points.

Demian Maia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ramazan Kuramagomedov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Demian Maia finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Ramazan Kuramagomedov 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.