Demian Maia vs Ryan Jensen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-11-0Record21-8-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight175 lbs
Demian Maia Jiu-JitsuTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Demian Maia is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Ryan Jensen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+6→ 1780
If they lose-18→ 1756
If they win+24→ 1610
If they lose-8→ 1578
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1767 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Demian MaiaRyan Jensen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Demian Maia81%
Ryan Jensen 19%Elo baseline: 75%
The Combat Edge model makes Demian Maia a 81% favorite over Ryan Jensen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).
Demian Maia holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1774 to 1586, a 188-point edge.
Demian Maia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Demian Maia finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Jensen 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.