Demian Maia vs Tyron Woodley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
28-11-0Record19-7-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
TBDReach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Demian Maia Jiu-JitsuTeamAmerican Top Team Evolution
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1786
If they lose-12→ 1762
If they win+12→ 1786
If they lose-12→ 1762
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1768 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1761 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Demian MaiaTyron Woodley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tyron Woodley58%
Demian Maia 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tyron Woodley a 58% favorite over Demian Maia in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Demian Maia's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1774 vs 1774), separated by just 0 points.
Demian Maia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Tyron Woodley enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Demian Maia finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Tyron Woodley 63%.
Demian Maia and Tyron Woodley share 3 common opponents: Gilbert Burns, Kamaru Usman and Colby Covington.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.