Denis Goltsov vs Fabrício Werdum
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
37-9-0Record24-10-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'4"
78"Reach45,0"
248 lbsWeight246 lbs
Sambo PiterTeamWerdum Combat Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1805
If they lose-12→ 1781
If they win+12→ 1814
If they lose-12→ 1790
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1665 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1724 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Denis GoltsovFabrício Werdum
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Denis Goltsov53%
Fabrício Werdum 47%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Denis Goltsov a 53% favorite over Fabrício Werdum in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Fabrício Werdum's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1793 vs 1802), separated by just 9 points.
Denis Goltsov finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Fabrício Werdum 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.