Denis Goltsov vs Sergei Pavlovich
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
37-9-0Record21-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'3"
78"Reach84"
248 lbsWeight260 lbs
Sambo PiterTeamEagles MMA· 1817 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Sergei Pavlovich is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Denis Goltsov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1800
If they lose-11→ 1776
If they win+15→ 1824
If they lose-17→ 1792
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1730 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Denis GoltsovSergei Pavlovich
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sergei Pavlovich60%
Denis Goltsov 40%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Sergei Pavlovich a 60% favorite over Denis Goltsov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Sergei Pavlovich holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1809 to 1787, a 22-point edge.
Sergei Pavlovich enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Denis Goltsov finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Sergei Pavlovich 76%.
Sergei Pavlovich carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.