Denis Maher vs Matthieu Duclos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-3-0Record11-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'3"
-Reach76"
172 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641
If they win+16→ 1671
If they lose-16→ 1639
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Denis MaherMatthieu Duclos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matthieu Duclos66%
Denis Maher 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Matthieu Duclos a 66% favorite over Denis Maher in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Denis Maher's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1657 vs 1655), separated by just 2 points.
Denis Maher enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Matthieu Duclos enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Denis Maher finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Matthieu Duclos 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.