Combat Edge Intelligence

Denis Silva vs Joshua Weems

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Denis Silva
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Denis Silva

“Alagoas”

20-9-0FeatherweightACA

1601Solid

Tale of the tape

20-9-0Record17-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'8"
-Reach69"
145 lbsWeight154 lbs
The Fighting NerdsTeamBlack Sails MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Denis SilvaNow 1601
If they win+12→ 1613
If they lose-12→ 1589
Joshua WeemsNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.25
TBD
Strike accuracy
65%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.34
TBD
Strike defense
61%
TBD
Takedown avg.
4.77
TBD
Takedown accuracy
40%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Denis SilvaJoshua Weems
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (15%)
KO/TKO
2 (12%)
8 (40%)
Submission
9 (53%)
9 (45%)
Decision
6 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Denis Silva and Joshua Weems within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1601), separated by just 0 points.

Denis Silva finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Joshua Weems 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.