Denis Silva vs Renan Barão
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-10-0Record34-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
-Reach70"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
The Fighting Nerds· 1712 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamPitbull Brothers· 1624 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1611
If they lose-12→ 1587
If they win+16→ 1614
If they lose-16→ 1582
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1593 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Denis SilvaRenan Barão
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Denis Silva83%
Renan Barão 17%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Denis Silva a 83% favorite over Renan Barão in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1598), separated by just 1 points.
Denis Silva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Renan Barão enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Denis Silva finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Renan Barão 68%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.