Denis Silva vs Tristan Connelly
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-10-0Record14-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'11"
-Reach68"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
The Fighting Nerds· 1712 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamRyan's MMA - Checkmat Vancouver
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1611
If they lose-12→ 1587
If they win+16→ 1614
If they lose-16→ 1582
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1593 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Denis SilvaTristan Connelly
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Denis Silva84%
Tristan Connelly 16%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Denis Silva a 84% favorite over Tristan Connelly in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1598), separated by just 1 points.
Denis Silva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Tristan Connelly enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Denis Silva finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Tristan Connelly 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.