Denis Stojnic vs Serghei Spivac
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-3-0Record18-7-0
Super HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
TBDReach 78"
282 lbsWeight256 lbs
Golden GloryTeamPolar Bear Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1726
If they lose-16→ 1694
If they win+16→ 1725
If they lose-16→ 1693
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1487 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1725 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Denis StojnicSerghei Spivac
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Serghei Spivac72%
Denis Stojnic 28%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Serghei Spivac a 72% favorite over Denis Stojnic in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Denis Stojnic's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1710 vs 1709), separated by just 1 points.
Denis Stojnic enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Denis Stojnic finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Serghei Spivac 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.