Combat Edge Intelligence

Denis Tiuliulin vs Sedriques Dumas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-10-0Record10-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
77"Reach79"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Evolve GymTeamTeam Remedy BJJ & MMA

What's at stake

Sedriques Dumas is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Denis Tiuliulin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Denis TiuliulinNow 1537
If they win+20→ 1557
If they lose-12→ 1525
Sedriques DumasNow 1618
If they win+12→ 1630
If they lose-20→ 1598

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.61
Sig. strikes / min
2
41%
Strike accuracy
44%
5.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.41
38%
Strike defense
55%
0.96
Takedown avg.
1.34
43%
Takedown accuracy
32%
72%
Takedown defense
33%
0
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Denis TiuliulinSedriques Dumas
15501600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (90%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (20%)
1 (10%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Sedriques Dumas72%
Denis Tiuliulin 28%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Sedriques Dumas a 72% favorite over Denis Tiuliulin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Sedriques Dumas holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1618 to 1537, a 81-point edge.

Denis Tiuliulin enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Sedriques Dumas enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Denis Tiuliulin finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Sedriques Dumas 60%.

Sedriques Dumas carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.