Combat Edge Intelligence

Denise Gomes vs Gillian Robertson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record17-9-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'5"
63"Reach 63"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Parana Vale Tudo· 1663 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamThe Goat Shed Academy· 1666 avg Elo · 8 rated

What's at stake

Denise Gomes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Gillian Robertson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Denise GomesNow 1710
If they win+15→ 1725
If they lose-17→ 1693
Gillian RobertsonNow 1695
If they win+13→ 1708
If they lose-11→ 1684

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1619 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1656 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.43
Sig. strikes / min
2.71
49%
Strike accuracy
48%
3.16
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.86
52%
Strike defense
56%
1.45
Takedown avg.
2.76
0%
Takedown accuracy
41%
67%
Takedown defense
39%
0.72
Submission avg.
0.87

Trajectory

Denise GomesGillian Robertson
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (58%)
KO/TKO
3 (18%)
0 (0%)
Submission
9 (53%)
5 (42%)
Decision
5 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Gillian Robertson60%
Denise Gomes 40%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Gillian Robertson a 60% favorite over Denise Gomes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Denise Gomes's way (48%).

Denise Gomes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1695, a 15-point edge.

Denise Gomes enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Denise Gomes finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Gillian Robertson 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.