Combat Edge Intelligence

Denise Kielholtz vs Justine Kish

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-5-0Record9-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'5"
66"ReachTBD
124 lbsWeight125 lbs
Sports Academy SchreiberTeamBlack House

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Denise KielholtzNow 1572
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556
Justine KishNow 1569
If they win+16→ 1585
If they lose-16→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1516 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.51
TBD
Strike accuracy
48%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.59
TBD
Strike defense
58%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.87
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.14

Trajectory

Denise KielholtzJustine Kish
15501600202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
3 (33%)
Submission
2 (22%)
4 (44%)
Decision
7 (78%)

Combat Edge model read

Denise Kielholtz62%
Justine Kish 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Denise Kielholtz a 62% favorite over Justine Kish in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1572 vs 1569), separated by just 3 points.

Denise Kielholtz enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Denise Kielholtz finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Justine Kish 22%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.