Combat Edge Intelligence

Denise Kielholtz vs Melissa Gatto

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-5-0Record9-3-2
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'5"
66"Reach69"
124 lbsWeight135 lbs
Sports Academy SchreiberTeamMSP

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Denise KielholtzNow 1572
If they win+16→ 1588
If they lose-16→ 1556
Melissa GattoNow 1571
If they win+24→ 1595
If they lose-24→ 1547

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1516 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.78
TBD
Strike accuracy
50%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.84
TBD
Strike defense
54%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.47
TBD
Takedown accuracy
29%
TBD
Takedown defense
64%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.49

Trajectory

Denise KielholtzMelissa Gatto
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
3 (33%)
3 (33%)
Submission
4 (44%)
4 (44%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Denise Kielholtz and Melissa Gatto within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1572 vs 1571), separated by just 1 points.

Denise Kielholtz enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Denise Kielholtz finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Melissa Gatto 78%.

Melissa Gatto carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.