Deniz Ilbay vs Koji Oishi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-3-0Record25-10-10
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'8"
70"ReachTBD
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
UFD GymTeamPANCRASEism
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603
If they win+12→ 1630
If they lose-12→ 1606
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Deniz IlbayKoji Oishi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Deniz Ilbay64%
Koji Oishi 36%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Deniz Ilbay a 64% favorite over Koji Oishi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1619 vs 1618), separated by just 1 points.
Deniz Ilbay enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Deniz Ilbay finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Koji Oishi 32%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.