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Combat Edge Intelligence

Dennis Bermudez vs Jeremy Stephens

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

17-9-0Record29-23-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'9"
66,0"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Long Island MMATeamAlliance MMA· 1651 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

Dennis Bermudez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Jeremy Stephens carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dennis BermudezNow 1628
If they win+9→ 1637
If they lose-15→ 1613
Jeremy StephensNow 1553
If they win+15→ 1568
If they lose-9→ 1544

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1647 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1695 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.42
Sig. strikes / min
3.15
46%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.14
59%
Strike defense
59%
3.89
Takedown avg.
1.11
40%
Takedown accuracy
38%
83%
Takedown defense
62%
1.07
Submission avg.
0.37

Trajectory

Dennis BermudezJeremy Stephens
1550160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (24%)
KO/TKO
19 (66%)
3 (18%)
Submission
2 (7%)
10 (59%)
Decision
8 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Jeremy Stephens53%
Dennis Bermudez 47%Elo baseline: 39%

The Combat Edge model makes Jeremy Stephens a 53% favorite over Dennis Bermudez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dennis Bermudez's way (39%).

Dennis Bermudez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1628 to 1553, a 75-point edge.

Jeremy Stephens enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dennis Bermudez finishes 41% of wins inside the distance, Jeremy Stephens 72%.

Jeremy Stephens carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.