Combat Edge Intelligence

Dennis Bermudez vs Jeremy Stephens

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-9-0Record29-23-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'9"
66,0"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Long Island MMATeamAlliance MMA

What's at stake

Dennis Bermudez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Jeremy Stephens carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dennis BermudezNow 1629
If they win+9→ 1638
If they lose-15→ 1614
Jeremy StephensNow 1551
If they win+15→ 1566
If they lose-9→ 1542

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1649 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1684 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.42
Sig. strikes / min
3.15
46%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.14
59%
Strike defense
59%
3.89
Takedown avg.
1.11
40%
Takedown accuracy
38%
83%
Takedown defense
62%
1.07
Submission avg.
0.37

Trajectory

Dennis BermudezJeremy Stephens
1550160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (24%)
KO/TKO
19 (66%)
3 (18%)
Submission
2 (7%)
10 (59%)
Decision
8 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Dennis Bermudez66%
Jeremy Stephens 34%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Dennis Bermudez a 66% favorite over Jeremy Stephens in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Dennis Bermudez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1629 to 1551, a 78-point edge.

Jeremy Stephens enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dennis Bermudez finishes 41% of wins inside the distance, Jeremy Stephens 72%.

Jeremy Stephens carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.