Dennis Bermudez vs Matt Grice
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-9-0Record15-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'8"
66,0"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Long Island MMATeamR-1 MMA
What's at stake
Matt Grice is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Dennis Bermudez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1643
If they lose-10→ 1619
If they win+14→ 1688
If they lose-18→ 1656
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1649 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dennis BermudezMatt Grice
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matt Grice56%
Dennis Bermudez 44%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Matt Grice a 56% favorite over Dennis Bermudez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Matt Grice holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1674 to 1629, a 45-point edge.
Dennis Bermudez finishes 41% of wins inside the distance, Matt Grice 67%.
Dennis Bermudez and Matt Grice share 1 common opponent: Ricardo Lamas.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.