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Combat Edge Intelligence

Dennis Bermudez vs Tommy Hayden

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

17-9-0Record11-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'9"
66,0"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Long Island MMATeamBangkok Fight Lab

What's at stake

Dennis Bermudez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Tommy Hayden carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dennis BermudezNow 1628
If they win+10→ 1638
If they lose-14→ 1614
Tommy HaydenNow 1581
If they win+18→ 1599
If they lose-14→ 1567

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1647 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.42
Sig. strikes / min
1.48
46%
Strike accuracy
27%
3.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.05
59%
Strike defense
55%
3.89
Takedown avg.
3.42
40%
Takedown accuracy
33%
83%
Takedown defense
67%
1.07
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dennis BermudezTommy Hayden
155016001650201720182019

Win method breakdown

4 (24%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
3 (18%)
Submission
6 (60%)
10 (59%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Dennis Bermudez73%
Tommy Hayden 27%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Dennis Bermudez a 73% favorite over Tommy Hayden in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Dennis Bermudez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1628 to 1581, a 47-point edge.

Dennis Bermudez finishes 41% of wins inside the distance, Tommy Hayden 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.