Dennis Buzukja vs Francis Marshall
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-7-0Record10-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
70"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
Francis Marshall is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Dennis Buzukja carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1618
If they lose-14→ 1586
If they win+14→ 1668
If they lose-18→ 1636
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1599 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1594 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dennis BuzukjaFrancis Marshall
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Francis Marshall61%
Dennis Buzukja 39%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Francis Marshall a 61% favorite over Dennis Buzukja in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Francis Marshall holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1654 to 1600, a 54-point edge.
Dennis Buzukja enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Francis Marshall enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Dennis Buzukja finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Francis Marshall 60%.
Dennis Buzukja and Francis Marshall share 1 common opponent: Connor Matthews.
Francis Marshall carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.