Combat Edge Intelligence

Dennis Buzukja vs Márcio Barbosa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-6-0Record18-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'6"
70"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight146 lbs
Longo and Weidman MMATeamEquipe RD Champions

What's at stake

Márcio Barbosa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Dennis Buzukja carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dennis BuzukjaNow 1616
If they win+20→ 1636
If they lose-12→ 1604
Márcio BarbosaNow 1713
If they win+12→ 1725
If they lose-20→ 1693

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.21
Sig. strikes / min
8.27
43%
Strike accuracy
47%
4.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.56
49%
Strike defense
51%
0.62
Takedown avg.
0
27%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
75%
Takedown defense
100%
0.21
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dennis BuzukjaMárcio Barbosa
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (42%)
KO/TKO
15 (83%)
1 (8%)
Submission
2 (11%)
6 (50%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Márcio Barbosa71%
Dennis Buzukja 29%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Márcio Barbosa a 71% favorite over Dennis Buzukja in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Márcio Barbosa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1713 to 1616, a 97-point edge.

Dennis Buzukja enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Márcio Barbosa enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Dennis Buzukja finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Márcio Barbosa 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.