Combat Edge Intelligence

Dennis Buzukja vs Renan Barão

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Renan Barão
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Renan Barão

“The Baron”

34-10-0BantamweightGFL

1598Solid

Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record34-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'11"Height5'7"
70"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight135 lbs
Longo and Weidman MMATeamPitbull Brothers· 1624 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dennis BuzukjaNow 1600
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584
Renan BarãoNow 1598
If they win+16→ 1614
If they lose-16→ 1582

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1599 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.21
Sig. strikes / min
3.78
43%
Strike accuracy
37%
4.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.90
49%
Strike defense
58%
0.62
Takedown avg.
1.49
27%
Takedown accuracy
42%
75%
Takedown defense
91%
0.21
Submission avg.
0.54

Trajectory

Dennis BuzukjaRenan Barão
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (42%)
KO/TKO
8 (24%)
1 (8%)
Submission
15 (44%)
6 (50%)
Decision
11 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Dennis Buzukja70%
Renan Barão 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dennis Buzukja a 70% favorite over Renan Barão in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1598), separated by just 2 points.

Dennis Buzukja enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Renan Barão enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Dennis Buzukja finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Renan Barão 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.